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US growth (GDP)

Thu, Oct 29 · 12:30 PM

What it said

US growth (GDP)

Third quarter of 2026, first estimate

Growth, annualized
3.4%The quarter before: 2.2%

Earlier periods as revised in this release.

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis

US inflation (PCE)

For September 2026

Prices, month on month
0.5%The month before: 0.3%
Prices, year on year EasyAlpha, from BEA's price index
3.6%The month before: 3.4%
Core prices, month on month
0.3%The month before: 0.3%
Core prices, year on year EasyAlpha, from BEA's price index
3.1%The month before: 3.0%

Core prices leave out food and energy.

Earlier periods as revised in this release.

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis

Why it matters in the US

In general

Growth is the broadest sign of how the economy is doing: when it slows, companies tend to hire less and earn less.

How markets usually react

US stocks usually have a normal day on US GDP days

Big swings, when the S&P 500 rises or falls 1% or more in a day, are about as common on US GDP days as on any other day.

Last time, on Oct 29, 2026, the S&P 500 fell 0.4%.

Looking back at 40 US GDP days since 2017. History, not a prediction.

A calendar of what is scheduled, not a forecast.

This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

This product uses the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) Data API but is not endorsed or certified by BEA.

BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov.