Big day
PlusUS inflation (PCE)
What it said
US growth (GDP)
Third quarter of 2026, first estimate
- Growth, annualized
- 3.4%The quarter before: 2.2%
Earlier periods as revised in this release.
Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
US inflation (PCE)
For September 2026
- Prices, month on month
- 0.5%The month before: 0.3%
- Prices, year on year EasyAlpha, from BEA's price index
- 3.6%The month before: 3.4%
- Core prices, month on month
- 0.3%The month before: 0.3%
- Core prices, year on year EasyAlpha, from BEA's price index
- 3.1%The month before: 3.0%
Core prices leave out food and energy.
Earlier periods as revised in this release.
Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Why it matters in the US
In general
This is the gauge the Fed's 2% inflation goal is measured against, so it bears on US interest rates, and with them on loans and savings.
How markets usually react
US stocks usually have a normal day on US PCE days
Big swings, when the S&P 500 rises or falls 1% or more in a day, are about as common on US PCE days as on any other day.
Last time, on Oct 29, 2026, the S&P 500 fell 0.4%.
Looking back at 119 US PCE days since 2016. History, not a prediction.
A calendar of what is scheduled, not a forecast.
This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
This product uses the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) Data API but is not endorsed or certified by BEA.
BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov.